Gold Crash Ke Baad Ab Plan Kya Hai?

Gold ne Jumma ke din zabardast crash dikhaya, ek hi din mein lag bhag 260 dollar ka drop aaya. Ab sawal ye hai ke buyer banna hai ya trend ke sath seller rehna hai?

Gold ki market Jumma wale din crash kar gayi aur ek hi din ke andar 260 dollar ka drop dekhne ko mila. Market ka ye move is liye bhi important hai kyun ke gold kaafi arsay se ek hi jagah stuck tha, aur ab us ne purane lows bhi break kar diye hain.

Monthly candle sab se important hoti hai, aur October 2026 mein gold ne June aur July ke 3960 wale low ko bhi break kiya. Market ne 3875 dollar ke qareeb closing di, aur ye poori duniya ke liye surprise tha. September bhi bearish raha aur October bhi bearish hi close hua.

Weekly chart par bhi pichlay do hafton se market musalsal gir rahi hai. October 2025 ka low bhi break ho chuka hai, aur ab gold ne naya low bana diya hai. Daily chart par bhi trend clear downside mein hai.

Ye post sirf education ke liye hai. Trading mein koi guarantee nahi hoti, profit ya loss dono mumkin hain, is liye apni risk management aur capital protection ko hamesha priority dein.

Ab sab ka sawal ye hai ke kya gold yahan se buy hoga, ya aur neeche jayega? Mera view abhi bhi yehi hai ke jab tak market ka trend sell mein hai, main har move par sell opportunities dekhunga. Buyer banne ki jaldi nahi karni.

Fibonacci ke hisaab se gold ke andar abhi bhi downside room maujood hai. 3750 ka level important hai, us ke baad 3680 aur phir 3460 ke qareeb tak bhi market aa sakti hai. Lekin ye sab tabhi meaningful hai jab market proper rejection aur structure ke sath move kare.

Monday ke liye teen possibilities hain. Pehli ye ke market down gap ke sath open ho aur 3800 ya 3750 ki taraf move kar jaye. Doosri ye ke market upside gap ke sath open ho, gap fill kare aur phir upside move dikhaye. Teesri possibility ye hai ke market NFP tak sideways ho jaye, support aur resistance ke darmiyan range banaye.

Agar market upar aati hai to pehla selling area 3980 se 3990 ya 3995 ke qareeb ban sakta hai. Doosra area 4050 ya 4080 ke qareeb ho sakta hai. Ye areas gold ko dobara sell karne ke liye important nazar aa rahe hain.

Agar upside gap aata hai aur market gap fill karne ke baad move karti hai, to short term buy dekhi ja sakti hai, lekin long term ke liye nahi. Abhi overall bias sell ka hai, is liye bina confirmation ke buy karna risky hoga.

Agar kisi ne physical market mein gold buy karna hai, to 3750 ke qareeb confirmation ke baad thora sa buy consider kiya ja sakta hai. Lekin abhi mere paas strong confirmation nahi hai, is liye patience zaroori hai.

Gold ke girne ki wajah sirf ek nahi hai. Oil 100 dollar se upar trade kar raha hai, Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandab aur Russia Ukraine ke issues solve nahi ho rahe, aur oil supply disturb hai. Oil mehnga hoga to inflation ka pressure aaye ga, rate hike ka pressure banega, dollar index strong ho sakta hai, aur iska pressure gold par aata hai.

Is week NFP ka data bhi hai, America mein elections bhi chal rahe hain, GBP aur AUD ke events bhi hain, aur kuch countries ke central bank decisions bhi hain. Is liye ye poora week important ho sakta hai, aur market mein volatility expected reh sakti hai.

Silver ka scene bhi interesting hai. Silver ka rate kaafi zyada gira hai, aur pehle bhi kaha tha ke silver ko blindly buy nahi karna. Agar silver mein buying dekhni hai to total capital ka 10 percent se zyada expose nahi karna chahiye.

Silver ke liye 45 dollar, 40 dollar aur 38 dollar ke qareeb areas important mention hue hain. Lekin yahan bhi wahi rule hai: confirmation ke baghair entry nahi, aur risk management ke baghair trade nahi.

Meri simple baat ye hai ke market ka trend sell mein hai, to main har resistance se sell dekhunga aur support par profit taking karunga. Apni taraf se buy ka bias abhi nahi banana, kyun ke market ne abhi tak buyer banne ki confirmation nahi di.

Trading mein sab se bari cheez prediction nahi, discipline hai. Chart ko dekho, levels ko respect karo, aur apne emotions ko control mein rakho. Allah Hafiz, apna khayal rakhein aur risk management ko kabhi ignore na karein.