Gold Weekly Analysis 2-6 November 2026: 3750 ka target ya bounce?

Gold Weekly Analysis 2-6 November 2026: October ka 3875 close, Fibonacci targets, Monday ke teen scenarios aur sell zones.

Doston, is hafte yaani 2 se 6 November 2026 ka Gold Weekly Analysis aap ke saamne hai. Pichle Jumme, 30 October ko, gold market ne ek hi din mein taqreeban 260 dollar ki girawat dekhi. Yeh is liye bohat ahem hai kyun ke kayi dinon se gold ek range mein phansa hua tha aur rozana ki average move sirf 100 dollar ke aas paas thi. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke pichle saal 28 October 2025 ko bhi market ne aisa hi low banaya tha, aur ab October 2026 mein woh low bhi toot gaya hai.

Poori video yahan dekhein: Gold Next Target: $3750 or $3460? | Gold Weekly Analysis 2-6 Nov 2026

Is hafte ka calendar

Yeh poora hafta bohat ahem hai. Mangal, 3 November ko America mein election hai. Jumme ko US NFP data aayega. Is ke ilawa GBP aur AUD samet kuch central banks ke interest rate ke faisle bhi isi hafte hain. Agla FOMC bhi taqreeban 40 din door hai, lekin is waqt America ka election sab se zyada ahem event hai.

Dollar Index aur 10-year yield

Dollar Index ka monthly candle poora mahina upar gaya lekin aakhir mein 101 ke qareeb neeche close hua. Weekly aur daily chart par bhi downside pattern ban raha hai.

10-year yield ne September 2026 mein 5.30 par close kiya tha, lekin October khulte hi girna shuru ho gaya aur ab bearish marubozu candle ban raha hai. Weekly par doji, evening star jaisa pattern aur three black crows bhi ban chuke hain. Is ka matlab hai ke yield mazeed gir kar 4.80 se 4.70 ke darmiyan trade kar sakti hai.

Fed aur rate ki umeedein

Pichle hafte America ne interest rates ko pause par rakha. Japan aur European Central Bank ne bhi rates hold kiye. CME FedWatch Tool par is waqt rate hike ki probabilities zyada nahi barhi, lekin agar waqt ke saath yeh barhti hain to gold par pressure aayega. Irfan sahab ke mutabiq aane wale mahinon mein America, Japan, Eurozone, UK aur Canada rates hike kar sakte hain, jis se DXY aur yields bullish aur gold bearish raste ikhtiyar kar sakta hai.

Gold ka technical analysis

June aur July mein gold ne 3960 ka low banaya tha. October 2026 mein market ne woh low bhi tod diya aur 3875 dollar par close kiya. September ke baad October bhi bearish raha. Weekly par market do hafton se musalsal gir rahi hai, aur monthly aur weekly dono par upar ki wick ke baghair close hua hai.

Main ne pehle bhi kaha tha ke gold jab tak 3750 ko touch nahi karta, apne all-time highs ki taraf nahi ja sakta. Monthly Fibonacci ke mutabiq market apne 50 percent level, yaani 3800 par aa chuki hai. Is ke neeche 61.8 percent level 3475 ke qareeb hai. Matlab market mein abhi kaafi gunjaish baaqi hai: pehle 3750, phir 3680, aur us ke baad 3460 tak bhi aa sakti hai. 3500 se 3600 gold ka ultimate support area hai.

Monday opening ke teen scenarios

Pehla: market gap down khule aur seedha neeche jaye, 3800 aur phir 3750 tak, jo hamara final target hai.

Doosra: market gap up khule aur upar jaye. Is surat mein pehla selling area 3980 se 3995 hai, yaani purana support jo ab resistance hai. Doosra selling area 4050 se 4080 ke qareeb hai. Agar market wahan bhi na ruke to 4160 ya 4200 tak ja kar purane support aur resistance ko retest kar sakti hai, aur wahan se rejection ke baad hi wapas neeche aayegi.

Teesra: market Monday se sideways ho jaye, na low tode na high ki taraf jaye, aur NFP tak support aur resistance ke darmiyan range mein rahe. Is surat mein har resistance par sell aur support par profit lena hai.

In teenon scenarios mein hamara bias sell ka hai, kyun ke trend bearish hai. Haan, agar upside gap aata hai to gap fill ke baad thodi der ke liye buy dekha ja sakta hai, lekin long term ke liye nahi.

Gold kyun gira? Fundamental wajah

Jab 10-year yield upar gayi, gold nahi gira. Jab Dollar Index upar gaya, gold nahi gira. Lekin jab market ko yaqeen ho gaya ke oil 100 dollar se neeche nahi aayega, kyun ke Strait of Hormuz, Bab al-Mandab aur Russia-Ukraine ke masle hal nahi ho rahe aur global supply disturb hai, tab gold ne apne lows tod diye. Oil mehnga hoga to duniya bhar mein mehngai aayegi, mehngai aayegi to Fed rates hike karega, aur rates barhenge to dollar mazboot hoga aur gold par pressure aayega. Is liye gold ka neeche aana bilkul natural move hai.

CFTC ki report ke mutabiq open interest musalsal kam ho raha hai, 322,000 se 275,000 tak aa gaya hai, aur aane wale hafte mein long positions mazeed squeeze ho sakti hain. Gann cycle ke mutabiq Monday, Tuesday aur Wednesday ko gold neeche ja sakta hai aur Thursday, Friday ko recovery ke imkanaat hain.

Silver ka update

Silver taqreeban 60 percent gir chuka hai. Hum ne pehle hi kaha tha ke silver mat khareedein. Yeh khareedne ka acha level ho sakta hai, lekin apne total capital ka 10 percent se zyada expose na karein. Silver abhi bhi 45 ya 40 dollar tak aa sakti hai, aur 38 par support line hai.

Physical gold khareedne walon ke liye: thoda sa khareed sakte hain, lekin bari miqdaar mein long term buying tab karenge jab 3750 par confirmation milegi, jo abhi nahi mili.

Is se kya seekhna hai

Pehla sabaq: trend ke saath chalein. Jab trend bearish ho to har pump ko buy ka signal na samjhein.

Doosra sabaq: market ko sirf ek indicator se na dekhein. Is dafa gold yield ya dollar se nahi, balke oil aur mehngai ke khauf se gira.

Teesra sabaq: har scenario ka plan pehle se banayein. Gap up, gap down aur range, teenon ke liye levels pehle se tay hon to jazbati trading se bachte hain.

Zaroori note: yeh mazmoon sirf taleem ke liye hai, koi signal ya investment advice nahi. Trading mein nuksan ka khatra hai. Har setup pehle demo account par practice karein aur apne broker ke chart par levels khud confirm karein.

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